Los Angeles Kings at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-12-17 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

FLA: 51.2%

LAK: 48.8%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.19

LAK: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

FLA

Daniil Tarasov - 4-6-2 | 0.899 SV% | 2.96 GAA

LAK

Anton Forsberg - 6-6-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA

Stat	FLA	LAK
Season SV%	0.899	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.96	2.70

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Daniil Tarasov	29	27	2	93.1%	3.36	3	1.36
LAK	Anton Forsberg	29	26	3	89.7%	2.46	1	-0.54

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • FLA at home vs LAK: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-17	FLA 3 - 2 LAK	FLA	FLA
2025-11-06	LAK 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	LAK
2025-01-29	FLA 3 - 0 LAK	FLA	FLA
2025-01-22	LAK 2 - 1 FLA	LAK	LAK
2024-01-11	FLA 3 - 2 LAK	FLA	FLA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	11	0	0.80
1	LAK	9	1	0.61
2	FLA	17	0	0.85
2	LAK	16	2	1.57
3	FLA	12	1	0.81
3	LAK	18	0	1.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown