Carolina Hurricanes at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-12-17 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 28.5%

CAR: 71.5%

Expected Goals

NSH: 1.95

CAR: 3.70

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Stat	NSH	CAR
Season SV%	0.897	0.899
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.93	2.33

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	37	33	4	89.2%	4.57	2	0.57
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	26	25	1	96.2%	2.20	2	1.20

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NSH at home vs CAR: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-17	NSH 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-06	CAR 6 - 3 NSH	CAR	CAR
2025-03-25	CAR 1 - 3 NSH	NSH	CAR
2024-12-23	NSH 5 - 2 CAR	NSH	CAR
2023-12-27	NSH 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	7	0	0.24
1	CAR	24	0	1.39
2	NSH	9	0	0.40
2	CAR	15	0	1.02
3	NSH	25	2	1.56
3	CAR	15	2	2.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown