New Jersey Devils at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2025-12-17 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 2 New Jersey Devils (SO)
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 62.3%
NJD: 37.7%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.58
NJD: 2.73
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | VGK | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.899 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.880 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VGK at home vs NJD: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 | VGK 1 - 2 NJD | NJD | VGK |
| 2025-12-05 | NJD 0 - 3 VGK | VGK | NJD |
| 2025-03-02 | VGK 2 - 0 NJD | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-02-06 | NJD 1 - 3 VGK | VGK | NJD |
| 2024-03-17 | VGK 3 - 1 NJD | VGK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 04:50 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 15:49 | VGK | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | VGK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 2 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.6 - 2.7