Edmonton Oilers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-12-18 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 53.8%

EDM: 46.2%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.18

EDM: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BOS at home vs EDM: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-31	EDM 2 - 6 BOS	BOS	EDM
2025-12-18	BOS 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	BOS
2025-01-07	BOS 0 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-12-19	EDM 3 - 2 BOS	EDM	EDM
2024-03-05	BOS 1 - 2 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	10	0	0.55
1	EDM	8	0	0.23
2	BOS	14	1	0.77
2	EDM	12	1	1.31
3	BOS	14	0	1.01
3	EDM	14	2	1.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9