Chicago Blackhawks at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2025-12-18 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 4 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

MTL: 64.9%

CHI: 35.1%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.41

CHI: 2.63

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MTL at home vs CHI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-18	MTL 4 - 1 CHI	MTL	MTL
2025-10-11	CHI 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-04-14	MTL 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	MTL
2025-01-03	CHI 4 - 2 MTL	CHI	MTL
2023-12-22	CHI 2 - 5 MTL	MTL	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	16	0	0.93
1	CHI	7	0	0.43
2	MTL	20	3	1.69
2	CHI	13	2	1.03
3	MTL	18	2	1.90
3	CHI	13	0	0.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 4 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.4 - 2.6