New York Rangers at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-12-18 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 1 - 2 New York Rangers (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 54.8%
NYR: 45.2%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.57
NYR: 2.99
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
| Stat | STL | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.942 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.935 | 0.938 |
| GAA | 3.56 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs NYR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 | STL 1 - 2 NYR | NYR | STL |
| 2025-11-24 | NYR 3 - 2 STL | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-12-15 | STL 3 - 2 NYR | STL | STL |
| 2024-11-25 | NYR 2 - 5 STL | STL | NYR |
| 2024-03-09 | NYR 4 - 0 STL | NYR | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:58 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 06:02 | STL | Goal |
| 4 | 02:21 | NYR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 1 - 2 New York Rangers
Expected: 2.6 - 3.0