New York Rangers at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-12-18 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 1 - 2 New York Rangers (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

STL: 40.3%

NYR: 59.7%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.67

NYR: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Stat	STL	NYR
Season SV%	0.869	0.910
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.56	2.51

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	31	29	2	93.5%	2.90	3	0.90
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	27	26	1	96.3%	2.54	1	1.54

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • STL at home vs NYR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-18	STL 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-11-24	NYR 3 - 2 STL	NYR	NYR
2024-12-15	STL 3 - 2 NYR	STL	STL
2024-11-25	NYR 2 - 5 STL	STL	NYR
2024-03-09	NYR 4 - 0 STL	NYR	NYR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	8	0	0.34
1	NYR	15	0	0.55
2	STL	13	1	1.15
2	NYR	18	2	1.60
3	STL	17	0	0.99
3	NYR	10	1	0.70
4	STL	1	0	0.06
4	NYR	1	0	0.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 1 - 2 New York Rangers

Expected: 2.7 - 3.1