Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-12-18 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 4 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

CGY: 56.5%

SEA: 43.5%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.16

SEA: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • CGY at home vs SEA: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SEA 4 - 1 CGY	SEA	SEA
2026-01-05	CGY 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	CGY
2025-12-18	CGY 4 - 2 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-03-25	CGY 4 - 3 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-02-08	CGY 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	24	0	1.03
1	SEA	8	1	0.66
2	CGY	17	0	1.06
2	SEA	15	1	1.07
3	CGY	16	1	1.67
3	SEA	5	0	0.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 4 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9