Vancouver Canucks at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-12-19 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 1 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 60.9%

VAN: 39.1%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.52

VAN: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NYI at home vs VAN: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	VAN 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-12-19	NYI 1 - 4 VAN	VAN	NYI
2025-03-26	NYI 2 - 5 VAN	VAN	NYI
2024-11-14	VAN 2 - 5 NYI	NYI	VAN
2024-01-09	NYI 2 - 5 VAN	VAN	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	14	0	0.64
1	VAN	10	0	0.81
2	NYI	12	0	0.78
2	VAN	16	0	0.97
3	NYI	12	1	1.13
3	VAN	14	2	1.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 1 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8