Dallas Stars at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2025-12-19 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 8 Dallas Stars
🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 63.7%
DAL: 36.3%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.42
DAL: 2.66
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | ANA | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.828 | 0.750 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • ANA at home vs DAL: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | ANA 3 - 1 DAL | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-12-19 | ANA 3 - 8 DAL | DAL | ANA |
| 2025-11-06 | DAL 5 - 7 ANA | ANA | DAL |
| 2025-03-18 | DAL 4 - 3 ANA | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-02-04 | ANA 2 - 1 DAL | ANA | ANA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:19 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 12:41 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 04:42 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 03:32 | ANA | Goal |
| 1 | 02:37 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:30 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 15:10 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 11:10 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 14:22 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 01:42 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 01:01 | DAL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 8 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.4 - 2.7