Dallas Stars at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-12-19 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 8 Dallas Stars

🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 62.6%

DAL: 37.4%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.25

DAL: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • ANA at home vs DAL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-13	ANA 3 - 1 DAL	ANA	ANA
2025-12-19	ANA 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	ANA
2025-11-06	DAL 5 - 7 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-03-18	DAL 4 - 3 ANA	DAL	DAL
2025-02-04	ANA 2 - 1 DAL	ANA	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	16	1	1.24
1	DAL	8	1	1.10
2	ANA	14	1	0.66
2	DAL	9	1	0.81
3	ANA	11	0	0.81
3	DAL	15	1	1.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 8 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2