Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-12-20 • Grand Casino Arena
Minnesota Wild 5 - 2 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 49.1%
EDM: 50.9%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.19
EDM: 2.82
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
| Stat | MIN | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.836 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.933 | 0.872 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • MIN at home vs EDM: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | EDM 3 - 7 MIN | MIN | EDM |
| 2025-12-20 | MIN 5 - 2 EDM | MIN | EDM |
| 2025-12-02 | EDM 0 - 1 MIN | MIN | EDM |
| 2025-01-15 | MIN 3 - 5 EDM | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-12-12 | MIN 1 - 7 EDM | EDM | EDM |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 5 - 2 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8
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