St. Louis Blues at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-12-20 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 2 - 6 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

FLA: 47.1%

STL: 52.9%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.24

STL: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • FLA at home vs STL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	STL 5 - 4 FLA	STL	STL
2025-12-20	FLA 2 - 6 STL	STL	STL
2025-02-06	STL 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-12-20	FLA 2 - 1 STL	FLA	FLA
2024-01-09	STL 1 - 5 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	9	0	0.34
1	STL	13	1	0.99
2	FLA	18	4	2.22
2	STL	14	1	1.03
3	FLA	11	0	0.36
3	STL	19	3	1.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 2 - 6 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2