St. Louis Blues at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2025-12-20 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 2 - 6 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 66.1%
STL: 33.9%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.94
STL: 2.60
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | FLA | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.869 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.826 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.80 | 3.56 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • FLA at home vs STL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | STL 5 - 4 FLA | STL | STL |
| 2025-12-20 | FLA 2 - 6 STL | STL | FLA |
| 2025-02-06 | STL 2 - 3 FLA | FLA | STL |
| 2024-12-20 | FLA 2 - 1 STL | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-01-09 | STL 1 - 5 FLA | FLA | STL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:59 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 19:59 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 12:45 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 07:35 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 01:55 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 16:28 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:53 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:02 | STL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 66.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 2 - 6 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.9 - 2.6