Vancouver Canucks at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2025-12-20 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 4 - 5 Vancouver Canucks (SO)
🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 63.8%
VAN: 36.2%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.51
VAN: 2.69
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 44%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BOS at home vs VAN: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | VAN 2 - 3 BOS | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-12-20 | BOS 4 - 5 VAN | VAN | BOS |
| 2024-12-14 | VAN 1 - 5 BOS | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-11-26 | BOS 0 - 2 VAN | VAN | BOS |
| 2024-02-24 | VAN 3 - 2 BOS | VAN | VAN |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOS | 20 | 2 | 1.41 |
| 1 | VAN | 6 | 0 | 0.36 |
| 2 | BOS | 17 | 1 | 1.15 |
| 2 | VAN | 16 | 0 | 0.76 |
| 3 | BOS | 13 | 1 | 0.79 |
| 3 | VAN | 10 | 1 | 0.59 |
| 4 | BOS | 7 | 2 | 0.81 |
| 4 | VAN | 3 | 0 | 0.18 |
| 5 | BOS | 7 | 0 | 0.57 |
| 5 | VAN | 7 | 1 | 1.35 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 4 - 5 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.5 - 2.7
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