Toronto Maple Leafs at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-12-20 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 5 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 56.2%

TOR: 43.8%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.22

TOR: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

TOR

Joseph Woll - 8-4-1 | 0.914 SV% | 2.74 GAA

Stat	NSH	TOR
Season SV%	0.897	0.914
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.93	2.74

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	22	19	3	86.4%	2.67	2	-0.33
TOR	Joseph Woll	34	29	5	85.3%	4.56	3	-0.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • NSH at home vs TOR: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	NSH 5 - 3 TOR	NSH	NSH
2025-10-14	TOR 7 - 4 NSH	TOR	TOR
2025-03-22	NSH 5 - 2 TOR	NSH	NSH
2024-12-04	TOR 3 - 2 NSH	TOR	TOR
2023-12-09	TOR 4 - 0 NSH	TOR	TOR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	14	0	0.50
1	TOR	12	1	1.03
2	NSH	17	0	1.15
2	TOR	11	0	0.76
3	NSH	16	3	2.92
3	TOR	11	1	0.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown