Columbus Blue Jackets at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-12-20 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

ANA: 51.0%

CBJ: 49.0%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.31

CBJ: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 50%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Stat	ANA	CBJ
Season SV%	0.888	0.877
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.15	4.04

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	26	23	3	88.5%	3.14	1	0.14
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	28	24	4	85.7%	3.97	3	-0.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • ANA at home vs CBJ: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	ANA 4 - 3 CBJ	ANA	ANA
2025-12-16	CBJ 4 - 3 ANA	CBJ	CBJ
2024-12-14	CBJ 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	CBJ
2024-11-10	ANA 4 - 2 CBJ	ANA	ANA
2024-02-21	ANA 4 - 7 CBJ	CBJ	ANA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	17	1	1.09
1	CBJ	14	1	1.36
2	ANA	16	0	1.11
2	CBJ	15	0	1.22
3	ANA	16	2	1.77
3	CBJ	11	0	0.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown