Seattle Kraken at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-12-20 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 4 Seattle Kraken

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SJS: 48.5%

SEA: 51.5%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.23

SEA: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 50%

Over 6.5: 39%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 15-10-1 | 0.896 SV% | 3.36 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Stat	SJS	SEA
Season SV%	0.896	0.903
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.36	2.77

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Yaroslav Askarov	32	28	4	87.5%	2.84	1	-1.16
SEA	Joey Daccord	37	35	2	94.6%	5.49	2	3.49

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • SJS at home vs SEA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	SJS 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-11-15	SEA 4 - 1 SJS	SEA	SEA
2025-11-05	SEA 1 - 6 SJS	SJS	SEA
2025-04-05	SJS 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-01-30	SEA 6 - 2 SJS	SEA	SEA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	20	0	1.51
1	SEA	18	0	0.90
2	SJS	22	1	2.10
2	SEA	7	0	0.49
3	SJS	19	1	1.89
3	SEA	11	1	1.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown