Buffalo Sabres at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-12-21 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 58.2%

BUF: 41.8%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.20

BUF: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NJD at home vs BUF: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	NJD 1 - 2 BUF	BUF	NJD
2025-12-21	NJD 1 - 3 BUF	BUF	NJD
2025-11-28	BUF 0 - 5 NJD	NJD	BUF
2025-02-02	BUF 4 - 3 NJD	BUF	NJD
2024-10-05	NJD 3 - 1 BUF	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	14	1	1.16
1	BUF	13	0	0.29
2	NJD	12	0	0.48
2	BUF	15	1	0.99
3	NJD	21	0	1.25
3	BUF	7	2	1.65

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2