New York Rangers at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-12-21 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 1 New York Rangers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 51.9%

NYR: 48.1%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.97

NYR: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA

NYR

Jonathan Quick - 3-6-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.11 GAA

Stat	NSH	NYR
Season SV%	0.875	0.924
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.29	2.11

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Justus Annunen	17	16	1	94.1%	1.53	1	0.53
NYR	Jonathan Quick	32	30	2	93.8%	3.04	2	1.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NSH at home vs NYR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-21	NSH 2 - 1 NYR	NSH	NSH
2025-11-10	NYR 6 - 3 NSH	NYR	NYR
2025-03-02	NYR 4 - 0 NSH	NYR	NYR
2024-12-17	NSH 2 - 0 NYR	NSH	NSH
2023-12-02	NSH 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	NSH

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	18	1	1.29
1	NYR	13	0	0.42
2	NSH	17	0	0.72
2	NYR	7	0	0.37
3	NSH	8	1	1.04
3	NYR	10	1	0.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown