Vancouver Canucks at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-12-22 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 5 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

PHI: 65.3%

VAN: 34.7%

Expected Goals

PHI: 4.52

VAN: 2.41

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • PHI at home vs VAN: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-30	VAN 3 - 6 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-12-22	PHI 5 - 2 VAN	PHI	PHI
2024-10-19	PHI 0 - 3 VAN	VAN	PHI
2024-10-11	VAN 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2023-12-28	VAN 1 - 4 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	19	0	1.46
1	VAN	8	0	0.36
2	PHI	18	1	1.39
2	VAN	15	0	0.62
3	PHI	12	6	2.67
3	VAN	16	2	1.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 5 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 4.5 - 2.4