OTT vs BUF - 2025-12-23
2025-12-23 • Canadian Tire Centre
OTT 2 - 3 BUF
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 51.2%
BUF: 48.8%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.40
BUF: 2.68
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Leevi Meriläinen - 6-10-0 | 0.866 SV% | 3.48 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:22 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 17:13 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 06:11 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 09:27 | OTT | Goal |
| 4 | 00:31 | BUF | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
OTT 2 - 3 BUF
Expected: 3.4 - 2.7