Dallas Stars at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-12-23 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 3 Dallas Stars (OT)

Win Probability

DET: 56.5%

DAL: 43.5%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.23

DAL: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • DET at home vs DAL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	DAL 3 - 2 DET	DAL	DAL
2025-12-23	DET 4 - 3 DAL	DET	DET
2025-04-14	DET 6 - 4 DAL	DET	DET
2025-01-19	DAL 4 - 1 DET	DAL	DAL
2024-01-23	DET 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	10	0	0.48
1	DAL	12	0	0.76
2	DET	10	0	0.65
2	DAL	20	1	2.34
3	DET	16	0	1.04
3	DAL	11	1	0.74
4	DET	2	0	0.23
4	DAL	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 3 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3