New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-12-23 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 2 - 1 New Jersey Devils

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NYI: 56.8%

NJD: 43.2%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.41

NJD: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NYI

David Rittich - 10-5-2 | 0.909 SV% | 2.46 GAA

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Stat	NYI	NJD
Season SV%	0.909	0.884
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.46	3.32

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	David Rittich	32	31	1	96.9%	4.05	4	3.05
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	25	23	2	92.0%	3.59	3	1.59

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NYI at home vs NJD: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NJD 1 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2026-01-06	NYI 9 - 0 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-12-23	NYI 2 - 1 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-11-10	NJD 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2025-04-13	NJD 0 - 1 NYI	NYI	NJD

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	13	1	1.26
1	NJD	19	0	1.04
2	NYI	21	2	1.73
2	NJD	8	1	0.47
3	NYI	13	0	0.60
3	NJD	22	3	2.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown