Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-12-23 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 5 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 65.1%

FLA: 34.9%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.60

FLA: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 43% • CAR at home vs FLA: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	CAR 9 - 1 FLA	CAR	CAR
2025-12-23	CAR 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-12-19	FLA 4 - 3 CAR	FLA	CAR
2025-05-28	CAR 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-05-26	FLA 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	17	0	0.72
1	FLA	12	0	0.52
2	CAR	17	1	1.13
2	FLA	10	0	0.45
3	CAR	9	0	0.26
3	FLA	20	2	1.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 65.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 5 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.6 - 2.9