Utah Hockey Club at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-12-23 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 1 - 0 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

COL: 63.8%

UTA: 36.2%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.15

UTA: 2.64

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • COL at home vs UTA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	UTA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2025-12-23	COL 1 - 0 UTA	COL	COL
2025-10-21	UTA 4 - 3 COL	UTA	UTA
2025-10-09	COL 2 - 1 UTA	COL	COL
2024-12-27	UTA 1 - 4 COL	COL	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	17	2	1.46
1	UTA	10	1	0.55
2	COL	12	0	0.87
2	UTA	16	0	1.02
3	COL	7	1	0.52
3	UTA	13	0	0.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 1 - 0 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.2 - 2.6