Seattle Kraken at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-12-23 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 65.4%

SEA: 34.6%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.76

SEA: 2.36

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 38%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Stat	LAK	SEA
Season SV%	0.833	0.903
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	4.37	2.77

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Pheonix Copley	28	25	3	89.3%	2.01	0	-0.99
SEA	Joey Daccord	37	35	2	94.6%	3.07	1	1.07

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • LAK at home vs SEA: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	SEA 3 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2026-02-04	LAK 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	LAK
2025-12-23	LAK 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	LAK
2025-12-10	SEA 3 - 2 LAK	SEA	LAK
2025-04-15	SEA 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	17	0	0.64
1	SEA	17	0	0.73
2	LAK	20	1	1.36
2	SEA	17	0	0.93
3	LAK	19	0	1.07
3	SEA	6	0	0.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 65.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown