New York Rangers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-12-27 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 2 - 0 New York Rangers

Win Probability

NYI: 54.6%

NYR: 45.4%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.26

NYR: 2.63

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 38%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYI at home vs NYR: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	NYR 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYR
2026-01-28	NYI 5 - 2 NYR	NYI	NYI
2025-12-27	NYI 2 - 0 NYR	NYI	NYI
2025-11-08	NYR 0 - 5 NYI	NYI	NYR
2025-04-10	NYI 2 - 9 NYR	NYR	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	15	2	1.54
1	NYR	10	0	0.43
2	NYI	11	1	0.97
2	NYR	13	0	0.68
3	NYI	13	2	2.22
3	NYR	19	1	1.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 2 - 0 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.3 - 2.6