BUF vs BOS - 2025-12-27
2025-12-27 • KeyBank Center
BUF 4 - 1 BOS
🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 48.9%
BOS: 51.1%
Expected Goals
BUF: 2.89
BOS: 2.76
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 17-11-2 | 0.902 SV% | 2.88 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:56 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 01:39 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 03:12 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 07:54 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 19:46 | BUF | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
BUF 4 - 1 BOS
Expected: 2.9 - 2.8