Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-12-27 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 4 Washington Capitals (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 50.9%

WSH: 49.1%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.42

WSH: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NJD at home vs WSH: 1-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	NJD 7 - 3 WSH	NJD	NJD
2026-03-20	WSH 2 - 1 NJD	WSH	NJD
2025-12-27	NJD 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	NJD
2025-11-15	WSH 2 - 3 NJD	NJD	WSH
2024-11-30	NJD 5 - 6 WSH	WSH	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	19	0	0.80
1	WSH	14	1	1.45
2	NJD	20	1	1.48
2	WSH	11	1	1.17
3	NJD	9	0	0.46
3	WSH	19	2	1.66
4	NJD	1	0	0.08
4	WSH	2	1	0.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 4 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2