Chicago Blackhawks at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2025-12-27 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 3 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks (SO)
🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 63.8%
CHI: 36.2%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.67
CHI: 2.85
Total Goals
Median: 6.9
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 53%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | DAL | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.864 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.870 | 0.880 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • DAL at home vs CHI: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | CHI 4 - 3 DAL | CHI | CHI |
| 2025-12-27 | DAL 3 - 4 CHI | CHI | DAL |
| 2024-12-29 | CHI 1 - 5 DAL | DAL | CHI |
| 2024-11-27 | CHI 6 - 2 DAL | CHI | CHI |
| 2024-11-07 | DAL 3 - 1 CHI | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:31 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 03:20 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 11:32 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 10:37 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 12:25 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 11:18 | DAL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | DAL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | DAL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | DAL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 3 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.7 - 2.9