Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-12-27 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

CGY: 53.4%

EDM: 46.6%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.38

EDM: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • CGY at home vs EDM: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	CGY 4 - 3 EDM	CGY	EDM
2025-12-27	CGY 3 - 2 EDM	CGY	CGY
2025-12-23	EDM 5 - 1 CGY	EDM	EDM
2025-10-08	EDM 3 - 4 CGY	CGY	EDM
2025-03-29	EDM 3 - 2 CGY	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	20	0	1.37
1	EDM	12	0	0.91
2	CGY	11	0	0.83
2	EDM	13	1	0.97
3	CGY	11	0	0.91
3	EDM	18	0	1.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1