New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-12-28 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 2 New York Islanders

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CBJ: 63.6%

NYI: 36.4%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.36

NYI: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

NYI

David Rittich - 10-5-2 | 0.909 SV% | 2.46 GAA

Stat	CBJ	NYI
Season SV%	0.909	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.62	2.46

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Jet Greaves	26	24	2	92.3%	1.85	1	-0.15
NYI	David Rittich	35	31	4	88.6%	4.95	3	0.95

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • CBJ at home vs NYI: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	NYI 1 - 0 CBJ	NYI	NYI
2026-02-28	CBJ 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	CBJ
2025-12-28	CBJ 4 - 2 NYI	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-02	NYI 3 - 2 CBJ	NYI	NYI
2025-04-17	CBJ 6 - 1 NYI	CBJ	NYI

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	21	2	2.11
1	NYI	17	1	0.88
2	CBJ	13	0	0.75
2	NYI	13	0	0.58
3	CBJ	22	1	2.09
3	NYI	6	0	0.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown