Pittsburgh Penguins at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-12-28 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 7 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

CHI: 33.4%

PIT: 66.6%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.68

PIT: 4.70

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CHI at home vs PIT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	PIT 6 - 2 CHI	PIT	PIT
2025-12-28	CHI 3 - 7 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-04-08	PIT 5 - 0 CHI	PIT	PIT
2025-04-06	CHI 3 - 1 PIT	CHI	CHI
2024-02-15	CHI 1 - 4 PIT	PIT	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	15	1	1.41
1	PIT	14	1	1.01
2	CHI	15	2	1.33
2	PIT	17	1	1.57
3	CHI	16	0	0.81
3	PIT	2	0	0.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 7.4

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 7 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 2.7 - 4.7