Philadelphia Flyers at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2025-12-28 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 4 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers
🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 43.1%
PHI: 56.9%
Expected Goals
SEA: 2.82
PHI: 3.31
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 20-20-6 | 0.896 SV% | 3.03 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | SEA | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.854 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.762 | 0.902 |
| GAA | 2.77 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • SEA at home vs PHI: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-28 | SEA 4 - 1 PHI | SEA | PHI |
| 2025-10-20 | PHI 5 - 2 SEA | PHI | SEA |
| 2025-03-08 | PHI 1 - 4 SEA | SEA | PHI |
| 2024-10-17 | SEA 6 - 4 PHI | SEA | SEA |
| 2024-02-10 | PHI 3 - 2 SEA | PHI | SEA |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 4 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 2.8 - 3.3
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