Philadelphia Flyers at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-12-28 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 46.2%

PHI: 53.8%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.79

PHI: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs PHI: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-28	SEA 4 - 1 PHI	SEA	PHI
2025-10-20	PHI 5 - 2 SEA	PHI	PHI
2025-03-08	PHI 1 - 4 SEA	SEA	PHI
2024-10-17	SEA 6 - 4 PHI	SEA	SEA
2024-02-10	PHI 3 - 2 SEA	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	10	0	0.34
1	PHI	18	1	1.61
2	SEA	9	0	0.46
2	PHI	12	0	0.66
3	SEA	7	2	1.66
3	PHI	20	0	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 2.8 - 3.0