Columbus Blue Jackets at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2025-12-29 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 1 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets
🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 64.3%
CBJ: 35.7%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.34
CBJ: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 18-12-6 | 0.910 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | OTT | CBJ |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.882 | 0.928 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.938 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.62 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • OTT at home vs CBJ: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 | CBJ 1 - 4 OTT | OTT | CBJ |
| 2025-12-29 | OTT 1 - 4 CBJ | CBJ | OTT |
| 2025-12-11 | CBJ 3 - 6 OTT | OTT | CBJ |
| 2025-04-08 | CBJ 5 - 2 OTT | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-04-06 | OTT 4 - 0 CBJ | OTT | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:58 | CBJ | Goal |
| 2 | 01:21 | CBJ | Goal |
| 2 | 08:16 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 01:57 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 15:54 | CBJ | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 64.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 1 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9