Columbus Blue Jackets at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-12-29 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 1 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Loss (72% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 72.5%

CBJ: 27.5%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.53

CBJ: 2.67

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • OTT at home vs CBJ: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-20	CBJ 1 - 4 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-12-29	OTT 1 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	OTT
2025-12-11	CBJ 3 - 6 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-04-08	CBJ 5 - 2 OTT	CBJ	OTT
2025-04-06	OTT 4 - 0 CBJ	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	8	1	0.47
1	CBJ	19	2	1.36
2	OTT	13	0	0.98
2	CBJ	4	0	0.16
3	OTT	20	0	0.67
3	CBJ	13	2	1.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 72.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 1 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.5 - 2.7