New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-12-29 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 New York Rangers (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 74.6%
NYR: 25.4%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.66
NYR: 2.51
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 47%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • CAR at home vs NYR: 4-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | NYR 0 - 2 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-12-29 | CAR 3 - 2 NYR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-11-26 | CAR 2 - 4 NYR | NYR | CAR |
| 2025-11-04 | NYR 0 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-04-12 | CAR 7 - 3 NYR | CAR | CAR |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | 20 | 0 | 1.43 |
| 1 | NYR | 6 | 0 | 0.50 |
| 2 | CAR | 16 | 1 | 1.08 |
| 2 | NYR | 14 | 3 | 1.16 |
| 3 | CAR | 17 | 1 | 0.88 |
| 3 | NYR | 7 | 1 | 0.54 |
| 4 | CAR | 7 | 0 | 0.63 |
| 4 | NYR | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 74.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.7 - 2.5
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