New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-12-29 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 New York Rangers (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CAR: 73.1%

NYR: 26.9%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.06

NYR: 2.40

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CAR

Brandon Bussi - 13-2-1 | 0.901 SV% | 2.33 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Stat	CAR	NYR
Season SV%	0.901	0.910
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.33	2.51

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Brandon Bussi	20	18	2	90.0%	2.20	4	0.20
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	35	32	3	91.4%	4.03	2	1.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • CAR at home vs NYR: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NYR 0 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-29	CAR 3 - 2 NYR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-26	CAR 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	CAR
2025-11-04	NYR 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-12	CAR 7 - 3 NYR	CAR	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	20	0	1.43
1	NYR	6	0	0.50
2	CAR	16	1	1.08
2	NYR	14	3	1.16
3	CAR	17	1	0.88
3	NYR	7	1	0.54
4	CAR	7	0	0.63
4	NYR	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 73.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 New York Rangers

Expected: 4.1 - 2.4