Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-12-29 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 56.6%
EDM: 43.4%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.08
EDM: 3.57
Total Goals
Median: 6.9
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 54%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
| Stat | WPG | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.841 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.880 | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 11% • WPG at home vs EDM: 0-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | WPG 3 - 4 EDM | EDM | WPG |
| 2025-12-29 | WPG 1 - 3 EDM | EDM | WPG |
| 2025-12-06 | EDM 6 - 2 WPG | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-04-13 | WPG 1 - 4 EDM | EDM | WPG |
| 2025-03-20 | EDM 3 - 4 WPG | WPG | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 12:49 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 08:00 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 18:37 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 05:46 | EDM | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.1 - 3.6