Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-12-29 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

COL: 69.1%

LAK: 30.9%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.61

LAK: 2.56

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

COL

Mackenzie Blackwood - 13-1-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.07 GAA

LAK

Anton Forsberg - 6-6-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA

Stat	COL	LAK
Season SV%	0.924	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.07	2.70

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Mackenzie Blackwood	25	23	2	92.0%	1.98	1	-0.02
LAK	Anton Forsberg	26	21	5	80.8%	3.52	3	-1.48

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 92% • COL at home vs LAK: 6-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-26	LAK 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-23	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-21	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-04-19	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-03-02	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	12	0	0.54
1	LAK	19	0	0.69
2	COL	24	2	1.76
2	LAK	9	1	0.64
3	COL	11	1	1.22
3	LAK	15	0	0.65

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown