Boston Bruins at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-12-29 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 2 - 1 Boston Bruins (OT)

Win Probability

CGY: 51.1%

BOS: 48.9%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.41

BOS: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CGY at home vs BOS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	BOS 4 - 1 CGY	BOS	BOS
2025-12-29	CGY 2 - 1 BOS	CGY	CGY
2024-12-17	CGY 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	CGY
2024-11-07	BOS 4 - 3 CGY	BOS	BOS
2024-02-22	CGY 3 - 2 BOS	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	12	0	0.65
1	BOS	13	2	1.05
2	CGY	13	0	0.78
2	BOS	9	0	0.45
3	CGY	3	1	0.26
3	BOS	11	0	0.51
4	CGY	3	1	1.03
4	BOS	3	0	0.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 2 - 1 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0