San Jose Sharks at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2025-12-29 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 4 - 5 San Jose Sharks
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 62.2%
SJS: 37.8%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.48
SJS: 2.48
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
| Stat | ANA | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.874 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.556 | 0.872 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs SJS: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | ANA 4 - 5 SJS | SJS | ANA |
| 2025-10-11 | SJS 6 - 7 ANA | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-04-01 | ANA 4 - 3 SJS | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-10-22 | ANA 3 - 1 SJS | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-10-12 | SJS 0 - 2 ANA | ANA | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:12 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 15:02 | ANA | Goal |
| 1 | 10:43 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 16:26 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 12:17 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 06:30 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 15:58 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 13:47 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 03:07 | SJS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 4 - 5 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.5 - 2.5