San Jose Sharks at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-12-29 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 5 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 62.1%

SJS: 37.9%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.86

SJS: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 53%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • ANA at home vs SJS: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	ANA 6 - 1 SJS	ANA	ANA
2026-04-01	SJS 4 - 3 ANA	SJS	SJS
2025-12-29	ANA 4 - 5 SJS	SJS	ANA
2025-10-11	SJS 6 - 7 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-04-01	ANA 4 - 3 SJS	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	18	1	1.63
1	SJS	12	1	0.93
2	ANA	24	0	1.42
2	SJS	6	0	0.59
3	ANA	21	2	1.99
3	SJS	5	0	0.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 5 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.9 - 3.0