Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-12-29 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Vancouver Canucks (SO)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SEA: 45.1%

VAN: 54.9%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.95

VAN: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Stat	SEA	VAN
Season SV%	0.903	0.885
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.77	3.41

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	26	23	3	88.5%	3.27	1	0.27
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	41	39	2	95.1%	3.91	4	1.91

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • SEA at home vs VAN: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	VAN 2 - 5 SEA	SEA	VAN
2026-02-28	SEA 5 - 1 VAN	SEA	SEA
2026-01-02	VAN 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	VAN
2025-12-29	SEA 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-04-02	VAN 0 - 5 SEA	SEA	VAN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	19	1	1.36
1	VAN	18	0	0.97
2	SEA	9	1	0.64
2	VAN	17	0	0.85
3	SEA	17	2	1.40
3	VAN	10	0	0.23
4	SEA	3	0	0.31
4	VAN	2	0	0.23
5	SEA	3	0	0.21
5	VAN	2	1	0.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0