New Jersey Devils at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2025-12-30 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 4 - 0 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

TOR: 53.4%

NJD: 46.6%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.13

NJD: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • TOR at home vs NJD: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	NJD 4 - 3 TOR	NJD	TOR
2025-12-30	TOR 4 - 0 NJD	TOR	TOR
2025-10-21	TOR 2 - 5 NJD	NJD	TOR
2025-01-16	TOR 4 - 3 NJD	TOR	TOR
2024-12-10	NJD 1 - 2 TOR	TOR	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	TOR	17	1	1.18
1	NJD	12	1	0.85
2	TOR	11	1	0.81
2	NJD	20	1	1.43
3	TOR	14	2	1.88
3	NJD	16	0	0.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 4 - 0 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1