New York Islanders at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-12-30 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 3 New York Islanders (SO)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CHI: 42.5%

NYI: 57.5%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.91

NYI: 3.53

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

NYI

David Rittich - 10-5-2 | 0.909 SV% | 2.46 GAA

Stat	CHI	NYI
Season SV%	0.909	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.63	2.46

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Spencer Knight	23	20	3	87.0%	2.80	1	-0.20
NYI	David Rittich	21	19	2	90.5%	2.73	2	0.73

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CHI at home vs NYI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	NYI 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	NYI
2025-12-30	CHI 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NYI
2024-12-15	CHI 5 - 3 NYI	CHI	NYI
2024-12-12	NYI 5 - 4 CHI	NYI	NYI
2024-04-02	NYI 2 - 1 CHI	NYI	NYI

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	16	1	0.71
1	NYI	12	0	0.70
2	CHI	15	1	1.25
2	NYI	9	0	0.54
3	CHI	7	0	0.36
3	NYI	11	0	0.41
4	CHI	4	0	0.22
4	NYI	2	0	0.28
5	CHI	3	0	0.19
5	NYI	2	1	0.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 3 New York Islanders

Expected: 2.9 - 3.5