Philadelphia Flyers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-12-30 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 6 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

VAN: 39.7%

PHI: 60.3%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.17

PHI: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • VAN at home vs PHI: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-30	VAN 3 - 6 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-12-22	PHI 5 - 2 VAN	PHI	PHI
2024-10-19	PHI 0 - 3 VAN	VAN	PHI
2024-10-11	VAN 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2023-12-28	VAN 1 - 4 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	20	1	1.54
1	PHI	10	0	0.34
2	VAN	12	0	0.52
2	PHI	25	0	1.48
3	VAN	24	0	1.18
3	PHI	13	4	2.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 6 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2