Nashville Predators at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2025-12-31 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 4 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 60.0%
NSH: 40.0%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.36
NSH: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 21-17-5 | 0.892 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | VGK | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.875 | — |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • VGK at home vs NSH: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | VGK 7 - 2 NSH | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-12-31 | VGK 2 - 4 NSH | NSH | VGK |
| 2025-04-12 | VGK 5 - 3 NSH | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-29 | NSH 1 - 3 VGK | VGK | NSH |
| 2025-01-14 | NSH 5 - 3 VGK | NSH | NSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:35 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 09:06 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 11:20 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 15:37 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 16:21 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 11:52 | NSH | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 4 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.4 - 3.0