Winnipeg Jets at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-12-31 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

DET: 52.4%

WPG: 47.6%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.20

WPG: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DET at home vs WPG: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-24	WPG 1 - 5 DET	DET	WPG
2025-12-31	DET 2 - 1 WPG	DET	DET
2025-01-04	WPG 2 - 4 DET	DET	DET
2024-10-30	DET 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2023-12-20	WPG 5 - 2 DET	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	10	0	0.59
1	WPG	8	1	0.60
2	DET	9	0	0.41
2	WPG	11	0	0.63
3	DET	4	0	0.16
3	WPG	16	0	1.09

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1