Philadelphia Flyers at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-12-31 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 5 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

CGY: 59.0%

PHI: 41.0%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.25

PHI: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CGY at home vs PHI: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-31	CGY 5 - 1 PHI	CGY	CGY
2025-11-02	PHI 1 - 2 CGY	CGY	PHI
2025-03-04	PHI 3 - 6 CGY	CGY	PHI
2024-10-12	CGY 6 - 3 PHI	CGY	CGY
2024-01-06	PHI 3 - 2 CGY	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	11	1	0.85
1	PHI	9	0	0.38
2	CGY	21	0	1.46
2	PHI	13	2	1.74
3	CGY	13	0	0.76
3	PHI	20	0	1.24

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 5 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0