Boston Bruins at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2025-12-31 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 6 Boston Bruins
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 60.8%
BOS: 39.2%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.28
BOS: 2.65
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | EDM | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.889 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.923 | 0.918 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • EDM at home vs BOS: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | EDM 2 - 6 BOS | BOS | EDM |
| 2025-12-18 | BOS 1 - 3 EDM | EDM | BOS |
| 2025-01-07 | BOS 0 - 4 EDM | EDM | BOS |
| 2024-12-19 | EDM 3 - 2 BOS | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-03-05 | BOS 1 - 2 EDM | EDM | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:19 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 18:13 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 07:28 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 18:19 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 07:05 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 14:34 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 07:22 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 04:20 | BOS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 6 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.3 - 2.6