Seattle Kraken at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2026-01-02 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 Seattle Kraken (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 62.3%

SEA: 37.7%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.17

SEA: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • VAN at home vs SEA: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	VAN 2 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2026-02-28	SEA 5 - 1 VAN	SEA	SEA
2026-01-02	VAN 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	VAN
2025-12-29	SEA 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-04-02	VAN 0 - 5 SEA	SEA	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	16	0	0.76
1	SEA	19	0	0.86
2	VAN	20	3	2.23
2	SEA	8	0	0.72
3	VAN	14	1	1.12
3	SEA	8	0	0.22
4	VAN	5	1	0.61
4	SEA	4	0	0.39
5	VAN	3	0	0.20
5	SEA	3	1	1.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1