Montreal Canadiens at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2026-01-03 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 0 Montreal Canadiens

🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 41.7%

MTL: 58.3%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.00

MTL: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • STL at home vs MTL: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	STL 2 - 0 MTL	STL	MTL
2025-12-07	MTL 3 - 4 STL	STL	MTL
2025-03-25	STL 6 - 1 MTL	STL	STL
2024-10-26	MTL 5 - 2 STL	MTL	STL
2024-02-11	MTL 2 - 7 STL	STL	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	10	1	1.02
1	MTL	11	1	0.72
2	STL	10	0	0.91
2	MTL	16	0	1.19
3	STL	8	2	1.39
3	MTL	21	2	1.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 0 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9