Winnipeg Jets at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2026-01-03 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 4 - 2 Winnipeg Jets
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 61.4%
WPG: 38.6%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.24
WPG: 2.57
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | OTT | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.882 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.920 | 0.879 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • OTT at home vs WPG: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | OTT 4 - 2 WPG | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-12-15 | WPG 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | WPG |
| 2025-02-26 | OTT 1 - 4 WPG | WPG | OTT |
| 2024-12-28 | WPG 4 - 2 OTT | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-03-30 | WPG 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:03 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 12:08 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 15:50 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 05:56 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 15:28 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 10:10 | OTT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 4 - 2 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.2 - 2.6