CAR vs COL - 2026-01-03
2026-01-03 • Lenovo Center
CAR 3 - 5 COL
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 51.2%
COL: 48.8%
Expected Goals
CAR: 2.98
COL: 2.56
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 34%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Frederik Andersen - 6-10-3 | 0.863 SV% | 3.37 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 19-3-4 | 0.917 SV% | 2.19 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:09 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 01:47 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 04:47 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 07:50 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 01:09 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 01:42 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 07:30 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:42 | COL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
CAR 3 - 5 COL
Expected: 3.0 - 2.6